Learn About Rockies vs Marlins Picks and Betting Trends – Monday June 02, 2025

Colorado Rockies

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Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins will host the Colorado Rockies on June 2, 2025, in what is shaping up to be a critical matchup for both teams, who are far from contending for a playoff spot this season. The Marlins, currently sitting at 23-34, continue to struggle, but they might find some confidence as they face the Rockies, who sit at an abysmal 9-50.

The two teams recently met in a matchup where the Rockies were unable to find offensive momentum, marking a worrying trend for their season. Miami is projected to start Max Meyer, a right-handed pitcher who has shown signs of improvement despite an average 4.53 ERA. The projections indicate that Meyer has been somewhat unlucky this year, as his xFIP of 3.30 suggests he could perform better moving forward. He has managed to strike out an average of 6.8 batters per outing, which plays into the Rockies’ struggles at the plate.

On the other side, German Marquez is expected to take the mound for Colorado. With a record of 1-7 and a dismal 7.13 ERA, Marquez has been one of the worst pitchers in the league according to advanced metrics. His peripherals indicate he might be due for some positive regression, but the Rockies’ offense ranks as the 30th best in MLB, making for a tough night ahead against an average Marlins lineup.

Despite the Marlins’ offense ranking 19th overall in MLB, they have a favorable matchup against a Rockies team that has struggled to make any significant impact. Miami holds a strong moneyline of -195, reflecting their standing as betting favorites in this encounter. With an implied team total of 4.61 runs, the Marlins will look to capitalize on their pitching advantage and poor Rocky performance to turn their season around, if only momentarily.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Colorado Rockies – Moneyline (+180)
  Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Brenton Doyle – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (98% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Today’s version of the Rockies projected offense is weaker than usual, as their .301 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .320 overall projected rate.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Max Meyer – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-195/+150)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Max Meyer will tally an average of 17.9 outs in this game.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Jesus Sanchez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Miami Marlins – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Miami Marlins’ bullpen profiles as the 6th-worst among all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Miami Marlins – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.05 Units / 11% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 51 games (+14.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+180/-235)
  Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)