
New York Yankees
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Cleveland Guardians
+110O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)-130
(-115/-105)-130
New York Yankees Insights
- Will Warren – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)Will Warren’s higher usage rate of his fastball this season (67.9 compared to 62.6% last season) is not ideal consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- The New York Yankees have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jazz Chisholm Jr., Spencer Jones, Ryan McMahon).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-130)Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Kyle Manzardo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)Kyle Manzardo is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#3-worst on the slate today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Cleveland Guardians – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- New York Yankees – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Chase DeLauter – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+160)Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
