Get the Winning Probability and Match Preview for Marlins vs Yankees – Sunday, April 05, 2026

Miami Marlins

@

New York Yankees

Miami Marlins Insights

• The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Austin Slater, Connor Norby, Heriberto Hernandez).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-275)
  Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• New York Yankees hitters as a unit rank near the top of MLB since the start of last season () when it comes to their 90.6-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-280)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 43 of their last 72 games (+15.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• Miami Marlins – Moneyline (+235)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 49 away games (+21.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• Ben Rice – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-110/-120)
  Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 62% ROI)