Get Recommended Player Prop Bets for Rangers vs Blue Jays – Sunday, August 17, 2025

Texas Rangers

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Toronto Blue Jays

On August 17, 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays will host the Texas Rangers in the third game of their series at Rogers Centre in Canada. The Blue Jays are enjoying a strong season with a record of 73-51, while the Rangers sit at 61-63, having had an average year. In their previous encounter, Toronto showcased their offensive power with a dominant 14-2 victory, leaving the Rangers looking to rebound.

Starting for the Blue Jays will be right-handed pitcher José Berríos, who has had a solid year with a 9-4 record and a respectable ERA of 3.74. However, his advanced stats suggest he may have been a bit lucky, as his xFIP sits at 4.39, indicating potential struggles ahead. Berríos is projected to pitch around 5.3 innings, allowing an average of 2.8 earned runs, which reflects an average performance.

In contrast, the Rangers will counter with Nathan Eovaldi, a right-hander enjoying a standout season with a 10-3 record and an impressive ERA of 1.71. Despite this, Eovaldi’s xFIP of 3.04 suggests he might also be due for regression. He is expected to pitch approximately 5.9 innings, allowing 2.9 earned runs.

The Blue Jays’ offense ranks 1st in MLB, and they have maintained this strong performance throughout the season. Their best hitter has been particularly hot lately, boasting a .625 batting average over the past week, which bodes well for their chances today. Meanwhile, the Rangers’ offense struggles, ranking 27th in MLB, which could spell trouble against a potent Blue Jays lineup.

With the Blue Jays being favored at -120 and the Rangers at +100, betting markets indicate a closely contested matchup. However, given the current form of both teams and their respective pitching matchups, Toronto could emerge as the stronger side once again.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Texas Rangers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)
  Nathan Eovaldi is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.9% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Rogers Centre — the #5 HR venue in the league — in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Marcus Semien – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Marcus Semien has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Evan Carter – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Evan Carter hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Jose Berrios – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Jose Berrios has added a slider to his arsenal this year and has mixed it in 26.7% of the time.
  Explain: Adding an extra pitch often leads to more success because it makes the pitcher more unpredictable and keeps hitters guessing more, and change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use.
• Alejandro Kirk – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+160/-205)
  Ranking in the 14th percentile for base-stealing, Alejandro Kirk has paced 0.8 swipes per 600 plate appearances this year.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• The Toronto Blue Jays (18 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-heavy batting order of all teams on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line +1.0 (-160)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 73 of their last 121 games (+22.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
• Nathan Eovaldi – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+115)
  Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.30 Units / 46% ROI)