
Los Angeles Angels

Milwaukee Brewers
(-110/-110)-240
The Milwaukee Brewers welcome the Los Angeles Angels to American Family Field for the second game of their interleague series on September 17, 2025. In the previous matchup, the Brewers dominated, winning decisively with a score of 9-2. The Brewers are currently enjoying a strong season with a record of 92-59, positioning themselves as serious contenders in the playoff race. Conversely, the Angels are struggling at 69-82, firmly in the underdog role.
Brandon Woodruff is projected to take the mound for Milwaukee, bringing a solid 6-2 record and a 3.32 ERA this season. His advanced stats suggest he’s been a bit unlucky, with an expected ERA of 2.27, indicating he could be in for a strong performance. After a stellar outing in his last start on September 6, where he pitched six scoreless innings, Woodruff is in excellent form. Meanwhile, Jose Soriano is set to start for Los Angeles, with a 10-10 record and a 4.13 ERA. Although his ERA is above average, his performance has not mirrored Woodruff’s, especially after allowing three earned runs in just four innings during his last appearance on September 11.
The Brewers offense has been on fire, ranking 2nd in MLB for team batting average and 8th overall. This potent lineup is poised to capitalize on Soriano’s high walk rate, making a significant impact with their patience at the plate. In contrast, the Angels’ offense, which ranks 29th in batting average, has struggled to generate consistent runs, although they do boast power with the 5th most home runs in the league.
As the game approaches, oddsmakers favor the Brewers with a moneyline of -230. With their high implied total of 4.48 runs and a considerably strong performance against Soriano’s shaky control, Milwaukee appears well-positioned to secure another victory. Expect Woodruff’s ability to handle a high-strikeout offense like Los Angeles to be a key factor in this matchup.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Jose Soriano – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)Jose Soriano has relied on his four-seamer 5.2% less often this year (8.6%) than he did last season (13.8%).Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
- Bryce Teodosio – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Bryce Teodosio’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 84.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 80.6-mph in the last 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Today’s version of the Angels projected offense is a bit watered down, as their .304 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .329 overall projected rate.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-240)Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Sal Frelick – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)Sal Frelick is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of Los Angeles (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Milwaukee Brewers hitters jointly rank 30th- in the game for power this year when using their 6.7% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-240)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 101 games (+29.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+120/-155)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 70 away games (+13.99 Units / 16% ROI)
- William Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-125/-105)William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 33% ROI)
