Get Bets and Betting Tips for Mets vs Orioles – 7/09/2025

New York Mets

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Baltimore Orioles

New York Mets Insights

• Pete Alonso – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Pete Alonso has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94-mph average to last year’s 89.7-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Mets bullpen ranks as the 5th-worst in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Tomoyuki Sugano – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)
  As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tomoyuki Sugano in the 4th percentile among all SPs in the majors.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Typically, batters like Cedric Mullins who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brandon Waddell.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 83 games (+8.68 Units / 9% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 60% ROI)
• Mark Vientos – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+180/-235)
  Mark Vientos has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)