Get Bets and Betting Tips for Braves vs Rangers – 7/26/2025

Atlanta Braves

@

Texas Rangers

In this Interleague matchup on July 26, 2025, the Texas Rangers will host the Atlanta Braves at Globe Life Field. Both teams are coming off a game yesterday, where the Rangers triumphed over the Braves with a score of 8-3. This marks the second game of the series, and both teams are looking to gain momentum.

The Rangers are currently sitting at a record of 54-50, showing signs of a competitive season, while the Braves, with a record of 44-58, have struggled significantly. The Rangers’ pitching has been bolstered by Kumar Rocker, who is projected to start today. Despite an average ranking as the 120th best starting pitcher in MLB, Rocker’s recent performance, which included a solid outing of 6 innings with no earned runs on July 19, shows he has the potential to turn his season around. However, his ERA of 5.66 highlights the inconsistency he has faced this year.

On the other side, Grant Holmes will take the mound for the Braves. Holmes has an ERA of 3.81, which is commendable, but advanced metrics suggest he has been a bit lucky this season. Given the Rangers’ offensive struggles—ranking 27th in MLB with a poor batting average—this matchup could favor the Braves if they can capitalize on Rocker’s inconsistencies.

Betting markets currently see this game as a toss-up, with both teams holding a moneyline of -110 and an implied team total of 4.25 runs. This suggests that while the Rangers have the upper hand in terms of recent form, the Braves could leverage their pitching advantages to keep the game close. With the stakes high, both teams will be looking to make a statement in this critical matchup.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Grant Holmes – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Grant Holmes has recorded a 13.1% Swinging Strike% this year, placing in the 89th percentile.
  Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
• Marcell Ozuna – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+130)
  Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-110)
  The 2nd-weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Atlanta Braves.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Kumar Rocker – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Recording 13.9 outs per outing this year on average, Kumar Rocker places in the 10th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Evan Carter – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Evan Carter has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph dropping to 76.7-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Texas Rangers’ bullpen grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in MLB.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 104 games (+16.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 74 games (+8.25 Units / 10% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+105/-135)
  Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)