Game Forecast: Brewers vs Yankees Head-to-Head Analysis Thursday March 27th, 2025

Milwaukee Brewers

@

New York Yankees

As the New York Yankees prepare to face the Milwaukee Brewers on March 27, 2025, the stakes are high for both teams. The Yankees, boasting a potent lineup that ranks 3rd in MLB, are looking to maintain their momentum against a Brewers squad that sits in 10th place offensively. With the Yankees coming off a strong performance in their last game, they are eager to build on that success.

In this interleague matchup, the Yankees are projected to start left-handed pitcher Carlos Rodon, who has had a challenging season, currently ranked as the 124th best starting pitcher in MLB. Rodon has struggled with his recent outings, including an abbreviated start where he pitched only 3 innings, allowing 4 earned runs. His projections for this game indicate he may pitch around 4.8 innings, allowing 2.1 earned runs, but he will need to improve on a concerning average of 3.8 hits and 2.0 walks allowed.

On the other side, Freddy Peralta is taking the mound for the Brewers. With a rank of 37th among MLB starters, Peralta has shown more consistency, projecting to pitch 5.2 innings and allowing 2.2 earned runs. He also has a higher strikeout projection at 6.0, which could pose a challenge for the Yankees’ hitters.

Despite the Yankees’ impressive offensive stats, including leading the league in home runs, they face a tough Brewers bullpen ranked 9th in MLB. The game total is set at an average 8.0 runs, reflecting expectations for a competitive matchup. With the Yankees favored at -140, their high implied team total of 4.27 runs suggests confidence in their ability to capitalize on their offensive strengths against Peralta.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  The New York Yankees have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-145)
  Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Austin Wells is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#1-best on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+17.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (+125)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-110/-120)
  Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 9 away games (+4.10 Units / 46% ROI)