Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Nationals vs Angels – Friday June 27, 2025

Washington Nationals

@

Los Angeles Angels

On June 27, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Washington Nationals at Angel Stadium in what marks the first game of their series. The Angels currently sit at a .500 record of 40-40, while the Nationals are struggling with a 33-48 mark. Both teams are having average to subpar seasons, but this game could have significant implications for momentum as they look to turn things around.

Jose Soriano is projected to take the mound for the Angels, and he comes into this matchup with a solid 3.39 ERA, ranking him as the 32nd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats. However, his 3.95 xERA suggests that he might have been a bit fortunate this season. Soriano’s high walk rate (10.9 BB%) could be challenged by a Nationals offense that ranks among the lowest in walks taken.

On the other hand, Jake Irvin will start for the Nationals. While he has a respectable 4.18 ERA, his underlying numbers tell a different story, with a 5.16 xERA indicating he, too, has had some good fortune this year. Irvin’s low strikeout rate (16.6 K%) could pose problems against an Angels lineup that ranks as the 2nd most strikeout-prone in the league.

The Angels’ offense, while ranking 22nd overall, has been buoyed by their ability to hit home runs, coming in at 4th in that category. This power could be pivotal against Irvin, who has struggled to contain hitters. Meanwhile, the Nationals boast a slightly better offensive ranking at 20th but are hindered by a low batting average of .222, ranking 22nd in MLB.

With the Angels favored at -165 and an implied team total of 4.71 runs, they may have the edge in this matchup, especially given their home field advantage. The game total is set at an average 8.5 runs, indicating a potentially competitive showdown.

Washington Nationals Insights

• Jake Irvin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  With 6 hitters who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Jake Irvin figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Josh Bell – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  Extreme flyball hitters like Josh Bell tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Soriano.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• James Wood – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), James Wood ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Jo Adell – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
  Jo Adell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Los Angeles Angels have 5 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jo Adell, Logan O’Hoppe, Scott Kingery, Christian Moore, Mike Trout).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Run Line -1.5 (+130)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 36 games (+13.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• Washington Nationals – Run Line +1.5 (-150)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+105/-135)
  Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.50 Units / 38% ROI)