Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Giants vs Angels – 4/20/25

San Francisco Giants

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Los Angeles Angels

On April 20, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the San Francisco Giants at Angel Stadium for the third game of this interleague series. The Giants enter this matchup with a record of 14-7, showcasing a strong start to their season, while the Angels sit at an average 10-10. Last night, the Giants took the first game of the series, and they’re looking to build on that momentum.

The Angels are projected to start Yusei Kikuchi, who has struggled this season with a 0-3 record and an ERA of 4.13. However, the projections suggest Kikuchi could find some success today, as he’s expected to strike out 6.4 batters on average while allowing 2.7 earned runs in 5.5 innings of work. His performance is critical, given that the Angels are currently ranked 18th in offensive output despite ranking 4th in home runs this season.

Facing him will be Justin Verlander of the Giants, who has had a rough start with a 0-1 record and a troubling ERA of 6.75. Nevertheless, Verlander’s peripherals indicate he could perform better, with an xFIP of 4.47 suggesting he has been unlucky. He is a high-flyball pitcher, and with the Angels’ power-hitting lineup, this could result in significant home run opportunities for the hosts.

Interestingly, the Angels have shown patience at the plate this season, ranking 2nd in least walks, which could work against Verlander’s control issues. Betting markets have set the moneyline for both teams at -110, indicating a closely contested matchup. With average implied team totals of 4.25 runs, expect a competitive game as both teams vie for important early-season victories.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
  Justin Verlander is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #6 HR venue in the league in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Tyler Fitzgerald – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
  Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.228) suggests that Tyler Fitzgerald has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .283 actual batting average.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Sam Huff, David Villar, Tyler Fitzgerald).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Yusei Kikuchi – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Yusei Kikuchi’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this year (63.4% compared to 53.1% last season) should work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Logan O’Hoppe – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
  Logan O’Hoppe is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Angels bullpen grades out as the 9th-best in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 73 of their last 162 games (+3.82 Units / 2% ROI)
• Jung Hoo Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
  Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)