Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
(-105/-115)+170
As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to host the Los Angeles Dodgers on August 13, 2025, at Angel Stadium, this interleague matchup carries significant weight amidst the teams’ contrasting seasons. The Angels, with a record of 58-62, are struggling to find their footing, while the Dodgers sit comfortably at 68-52, showcasing their strength as one of the top teams in baseball. In their last game, the Dodgers secured a decisive victory, further extending the gap in the standings.
On the mound, the Angels are set to start Kyle Hendricks, who has had a rough season. Although his 4.63 ERA is considered average, advanced metrics show he ranks as the 225th best starting pitcher in MLB, indicating he has been one of the least effective pitchers this year. Hendricks has a tendency to give up fly balls (41% fly ball rate), which could spell trouble against the Dodgers’ powerful offense, currently ranked 2nd in MLB with 179 home runs.
In contrast, Shohei Ohtani, projected to pitch for the Dodgers, has been stellar, holding a remarkable 2.37 ERA and ranking 5th among MLB starters. With a high strikeout rate of 32.9%, Ohtani could dominate an Angels offense that has the most strikeouts in MLB. The projections suggest he is likely to outperform his counterparts today.
While the Angels’ offense ranks 17th overall, they excel in power, ranking 4th in home runs. However, their poor batting average (25th) could hinder them against a Dodgers bullpen that ranks 7th best in MLB. With a game total set at 9.5 runs, bettors may find value in the Dodgers, who have a strong implied team total of 5.54 runs compared to the Angels’ 3.96.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)Out of all SPs, Shohei Ohtani’s fastball spin rate of 2442 rpm ranks in the 84th percentile this year.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mookie Betts’s true offensive talent to be a .347, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .048 difference between that mark and his actual .299 wOBA.Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
- Los Angeles Dodgers batters jointly place 4th- in the majors for power this year when using their 10.2% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-165/+125)Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Hendricks is projected to throw 84 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 10th-least of all pitchers on the slate.Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+140)In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Nolan Schanuel’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Run Line +1.5 (+110)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 51 of their last 79 games (+20.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-105/-115)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 2.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+115/-150)Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)