Find Out the Winning Probability and Team Stats for Reds vs White Sox Match – 8/13/26

Cincinnati Reds

@

Chicago White Sox

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  Throwing 93.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Andrew Abbott falls in the 84th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds’ bullpen projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Davis Martin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  With 6 bats who share his hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Davis Martin should benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Sam Antonacci – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Samuel Antonacci is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Cincinnati (#1-best on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – Run Line -1.5 (+155)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (+115)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• Davis Martin – Over/Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+110/-140)
  Davis Martin has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.75 Units / 22% ROI)