Find Betting Odds and Bets for Blue Jays vs Dodgers – August 9th, 2025

Toronto Blue Jays logo

Toronto Blue Jays

@
Los Angeles Dodgers logo

Los Angeles Dodgers

+140O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)
-160

As the Los Angeles Dodgers prepare to face the Toronto Blue Jays on August 9, 2025, both teams are enjoying strong seasons, with the Dodgers sitting at 67-49 and the Blue Jays at 68-49. This matchup marks the second game in their interleague series, and both teams boast potent offenses; the Blue Jays rank 1st in MLB while the Dodgers hold the 3rd spot in overall offensive performance.

In their last game, the Dodgers showcased their offensive prowess, winning decisively and continuing their excellent run this season. Blake Snell will take the mound for Los Angeles, bringing a solid 3.21 ERA into this matchup. While Snell’s advanced metrics suggest he may have been a bit fortunate this year, his ability to limit runs is undeniable. However, he faces a Blue Jays lineup that has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, which could pose challenges for his low-strikeout approach.

On the other side, Chris Bassitt will start for Toronto. He has a respectable 4.12 ERA but has been inconsistent at times. Bassitt’s control is noteworthy, as he’s a low-walk pitcher facing a Dodgers offense that excels at drawing walks. This dynamic may limit the Dodgers’ ability to capitalize on their patience, potentially giving Bassitt an edge.

With the Dodgers ranked 7th in bullpen strength and the Blue Jays at 3rd, late-game scenarios could heavily influence the outcome. The projections lean toward the Dodgers as betting favorites, with a high implied team total of 4.71 runs. Given their solid home record and offensive firepower, the Dodgers appear well-positioned to secure a victory in this critical matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

  • Chris Bassitt – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
    Chris Bassitt has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 3.9 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average pitcher.
    Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
  • Joey Loperfido – Over/Under Total Bases
    Despite posting a .419 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Loperfido has been very fortunate given the .130 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.
    Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
  • According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Toronto Blue Jays today holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .322, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .333 this year.
    Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

  • Blake Snell – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
    Given the 0.84 gap between Blake Snell’s 11.98 K/9 and his 11.14 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and figures to negatively regress in the future.
    Explain: Pitchers that are overperforming should be expected to pitch worse going forward, which can create value on K prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
  • Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
    Max Muncy is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
    Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
    According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen profiles as the 6th-best among all teams in the majors.
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

  • Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
    The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+12.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (+140)
    The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 65 games (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Addison Barger – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
    Addison Barger has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 29% ROI)