
Texas Rangers

Toronto Blue Jays
(-110/-110)-110
On August 15, 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays will host the Texas Rangers at Rogers Centre in a pivotal matchup between two teams with contrasting seasons. The Blue Jays are in a strong position with a record of 71-51, showcasing one of the best offenses in MLB, currently ranked 3rd overall and 1st in team batting average. Meanwhile, the Rangers sit at 61-61, struggling with a 28th-ranked offense that has failed to capitalize on scoring opportunities this season.
In their last game, the Blue Jays continued their impressive form, while the Rangers have been inconsistent. The Blue Jays are projected to start Chris Bassitt, who has been an average pitcher this season, ranking 100th among starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.17. Bassitt has a win/loss record of 11-6 and projects to pitch around 5.7 innings while allowing approximately 2.8 earned runs. However, he has been prone to giving up hits, with an average of 5.4 per game.
On the mound for the Rangers is Jacob deGrom, a standout pitcher ranked 16th in MLB with an excellent ERA of 2.86. DeGrom’s projections indicate he will pitch around 5.5 innings, allowing about 2.4 earned runs. His high strikeout rate of 27.2% could be a challenge for the Blue Jays, who possess the lowest strikeout rate in baseball.
The Blue Jays’ bullpen is also noteworthy, ranked 3rd overall, while the Rangers’ bullpen sits at 17th. With the Blue Jays’ strong offensive capabilities and solid pitching, they may have the edge despite the close betting odds, suggesting a competitive game with a low total of 7.5 runs. The projections indicate that the Blue Jays could outperform their current moneyline of +100, making them an intriguing pick for bettors looking for value.
Texas Rangers Insights
- Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)Jacob deGrom’s 96.7-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 95th percentile among all SPs.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Kyle Higashioka – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)In the last week, Kyle Higashioka’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.6% up to 42.9%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Texas Rangers offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Chris Bassitt – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)Recording 93.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Chris Bassitt falls in the 86th percentile.Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)Daulton Varsho has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 97.5-mph over the last 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Toronto Blue Jays – 2H MoneylineThe Toronto Blue Jays bullpen grades out as the 6th-best in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-110)The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 70 games (+19.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Texas Rangers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Addison Barger – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Addison Barger has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.35 Units / 27% ROI)