Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
(-110/-110)-165
On April 6, 2025, the Atlanta Braves will host the Miami Marlins at Truist Park for the third game of their series. Both teams are struggling in their respective ways, with the Braves sitting at a disappointing 1-8 record this season, while the Marlins hold a more respectable 5-4 record. The Braves are looking to turn things around, especially after a rough start, while the Marlins aim to maintain their momentum.
The Braves will send Grant Holmes to the mound, who has had a tough start to the season with an 0-1 record and a troubling ERA of 7.20. Despite his struggles, projections suggest he may be due for a turnaround, as his xFIP of 4.87 indicates he has been somewhat unlucky. Holmes projects to pitch around 5.7 innings, allowing approximately 2.5 earned runs, but he needs to improve on allowing 5.5 hits and 1.3 walks per outing.
Sandy Alcantara, on the other hand, has been a bright spot for the Marlins, boasting a 1-0 record and a solid ERA of 3.72. His impressive xFIP of 2.49 suggests he has also faced some misfortune. Alcantara projects to pitch 5.9 innings and is particularly effective against high-strikeout offenses like the Braves, who rank 4th in MLB for strikeouts.
While the Braves’ bullpen ranks 7th overall, their offense has struggled, ranking 49th in MLB. In contrast, the Marlins’ offense, ranked 39th, will look to capitalize on any mistakes made by Holmes.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 75 games at home (+31.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Miami Marlins – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-115/-115)The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 73 games (+15.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jonah Bride – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+105/-135)Jonah Bride has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 47% ROI)