Explore Expert Picks and Betting Line for White Sox vs Dodgers – July 2, 2025

Chicago White Sox

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Los Angeles Dodgers

As the Los Angeles Dodgers prepare to face off against the Chicago White Sox on July 2, 2025, at Dodger Stadium, they are looking to build on their recent success. The Dodgers secured a decisive 6-1 victory against the White Sox just a day prior, showcasing their offensive prowess in a season where they boast a 54-32 record and the top-rated offense in MLB. In contrast, the White Sox have struggled mightily, sitting at 28-57 and ranking dead last in the league for both team batting average and home runs.

In today’s matchup, the Dodgers are projected to start their ace, Clayton Kershaw, who has been solid this season with a 4-0 record and a 3.03 ERA. Kershaw’s last outing was a strong six-inning performance, allowing only one earned run, which has him positioned well against a White Sox lineup that has struggled to generate consistent offense. His ability to keep the ball on the ground could mitigate the impact of a White Sox squad that lacks power, as they have hit just 65 home runs this season, ranking 28th in MLB.

On the other side of the diamond, the White Sox will counter with Brandon Eisert. While Eisert has seen some success in the bullpen, his transition to a starting role, alongside a 4.33 ERA, might prove challenging against a high-powered Dodgers’ lineup. Moreover, the projections indicate that Eisert will struggle, projecting him to pitch just one inning while allowing an average of 0.7 earned runs.

Given the Dodgers’ current form and their dominant offense against a struggling White Sox team, Los Angeles is heavily favored in this matchup. The game total sits at 9.0 runs, reflecting expectations for a high-scoring affair, particularly with the Dodgers’ implied team total sitting at 5.70 runs. With everything on the line, the Dodgers look to extend their winning streak and capitalize on their home-field advantage once again.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Sean Burke – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Out of all starters, Sean Burke’s fastball spin rate of 2556 rpm grades out in the 97th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Austin Slater – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Austin Slater are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clayton Kershaw.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago White Sox’ bullpen projects as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-285)
  Clayton Kershaw is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.4% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Andy Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-250/+190)
  Andy Pages is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Will Smith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 away games (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (-130/+100)
  Shohei Ohtani has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+6.70 Units / 20% ROI)