Colorado Rockies
@
Cincinnati Reds
+140O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-160
(-110/-110)-160
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Michael Lorenzen – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael Lorenzen in the 20th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
- Tyler Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)Tyler Freeman’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Hunter Goodman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Tyler Stephenson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Tyler Stephenson has big-time HR ability (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael Lorenzen has a pitch-to-contact profile (14th percentile K%) — great news for Stephenson.Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
- The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Stephenson, Will Benson).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (-160)The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- Spencer Steer – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+115/-150)Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)