Expert Player Predictions for Reds vs Mariners - Wednesday, July 22, 2026

+145O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-165

Brady Singer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
Brady Singer’s sinker utilization has risen by 7% from last season to this one (40.8% to 47.8%) .
Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
Nate Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
Nathaniel Lowe has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-165)
The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
Dominic Canzone – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Emerson Hancock – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher today) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-165)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Cincinnati Reds – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+125)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 away games (+6.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Brady Singer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
Brady Singer has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 8 games (+8.60 Units / 89% ROI)

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