Dodgers vs Nationals Picks and Odds - April 04, 2026

-275O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)+235

Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
Tyler Glasnow’s curveball percentage has increased by 8.1% from last year to this one (21.9% to 30%) .
Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Since the start of last season, Shohei Ohtani’s 23.5% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen ranks as the best in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Jake Irvin – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
Among all starting pitchers, Jake Irvin’s fastball velocity of 91.8 mph ranks in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Keibert Ruiz – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)
Keibert Ruiz’s quickness has declined this season. His 24.48 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 23.38 ft/sec now.
Explain: Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can’t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.
Brady House – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+220/-300)
Brady House has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Washington Nationals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games at home (+12.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 100 games (+15.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+125/-160)
Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.25 Units / 50% ROI)

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