Dive Into the Simulation and Insights for Padres vs Reds Match Preview - September 2, 2026

-160O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)+140

Ty France – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
Ty France has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+125)
Brandon Williamson is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #2 HR venue among all parks in today’s game.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Sal Stewart – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
Sal Stewart’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.

Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
San Diego Padres – Run Line -1.5 (+100)
The San Diego Padres have hit the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Tyler Stephenson – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+130/-170)
Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)

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