Discover the Betting Trends for Dodgers vs Athletics Game – Friday, August 2, 2024

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Oakland Athletics

As the Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Oakland Athletics on August 2, 2024, both teams find themselves at starkly different points in the season. The Dodgers hold a strong record of 63-46 and rank 3rd in MLB, showcasing their powerful offense that has hit 139 home runs this season. In contrast, the Athletics are struggling with a 45-65 record, sitting at 19th in the league and facing a tough battle throughout the year.

The Dodgers are projected to start Gavin Stone, who has maintained an impressive ERA of 3.34 this season. Stone’s ability to keep the ball in the park will be crucial against the Athletics, who, despite their overall struggles, rank 4th in MLB for home runs. However, the Athletics’ offense is hampered by a 27th rank in team batting average, indicating their inconsistency at the plate.

On the other side, Joey Estes will take the mound for Oakland. Despite a respectable 4-4 record, Estes has an ERA of 4.92, ranking him as one of the weaker pitchers in MLB according to advanced stats. His high flyball rate (48 FB%) could spell trouble against a power-hitting Dodgers lineup, especially considering he projects to allow an average of 4.7 hits and 2.6 earned runs per outing.

The projections suggest a favorable matchup for the Dodgers, given the Athletics’ offensive woes and Estes’s recent performance. With the Dodgers favored to win, it will be interesting to see if their potent offense can deliver against an Athletics pitching staff that has underperformed this season. The game total is set at 8.5 runs, reflecting the potential for a high-scoring affair, particularly if the Dodgers capitalize on Estes’s mistakes.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Shohei Ohtani has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 95.5-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen projects as the 8th-best among all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Oakland Athletics Insights

• Joey Estes – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Joey Estes’s high utilization rate of his fastball (55.9% this year) is likely weakening his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brent Rooker has experienced some positive variance given the .048 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .351.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brent Rooker ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Oakland Athletics – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+16.90 Units / 31% ROI)