Discover the Betting Trends for Angels vs Dodgers Game – Friday, May 16, 2025

Los Angeles Angels

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Los Angeles Dodgers

On May 16, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Los Angeles Angels at Dodger Stadium in an Interleague matchup. The Dodgers are in strong form with a record of 29-15, riding high as they secure a three-game winning streak. Meanwhile, the Angels are struggling at 17-25, having just lost a disheartening game where their starter allowed 8 earned runs.

The Dodgers are projected to start right-handed pitcher Dustin May, who has had a challenging season with a 1-3 record and a 4.08 ERA. Despite this, May ranks as the 90th best starting pitcher in MLB, and the projections suggest he is likely to pitch around 5.6 innings, allowing 2.2 earned runs. He’s also facing an Angels lineup that tends to strike out often, placing him in a favorable position.

On the other side, Jack Kochanowicz is taking the mound for the Angels. Kochanowicz, coming off an underwhelming season with a 2-5 record and a 5.23 ERA, is considered one of the worst pitchers in the league according to the advanced metrics. He projects to allow 3.4 earned runs over just 4.7 innings, and his high walk rate (9.7 BB%) could prove costly against the Dodgers’ high-octane lineup that ranks 2nd in the league in overall offensive capability.

The Dodgers’ offense shines with the 1st best batting average and 2nd best home run total in MLB, indicating they can capitalize on Kochanowicz’s weaknesses. With an implied team total of nearly 6 runs, the Dodgers look to continue their dominance against a struggling Angels side that has a low implied total of 3.53 runs. This matchup sets up the Dodgers as heavy favorites, and given their current form and the disparities in pitching, they should be well positioned to extend their winning streak.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Jack Kochanowicz – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jack Kochanowicz has relied on his secondary offerings 7.2% more often this season (28.7%) than he did last season (21.5%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)
  Bats such as Taylor Ward with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dustin May who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Jorge Soler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)
  Jorge Soler hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-280)
  Dustin May turned in a great performance in his last start and allowed 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Max Muncy has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (26.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jack Kochanowicz doesn’t generate many whiffs (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Muncy.
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• The underlying talent of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order today (.344 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .355 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-290)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+6.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.42 Units / 35% ROI)
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-160/+125)
  Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)