Detailed Player Insights for Rays vs Astros - 7/3/2026

-110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-110

Tampa Bay Rays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-120)
In his last GS, Nick Martinez was rolling and conceded 2 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Tampa Bay Rays offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Spencer Arrighetti – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
Spencer Arrighetti has averaged 92.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Jose Altuve – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Jose Altuve has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph dropping to 82.4-mph in the past 14 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Houston’s 88.4-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the league: #23 overall.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Houston Astros – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line -1.5 (+150)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+9.10 Units / 62% ROI)
Taylor Trammell – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+155/-200)
Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 45% ROI)

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