Current Player Trends for Tigers vs Rockies - Tuesday May 06, 2025

-205O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)+175

Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)
Keider Montero will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats today.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
Typically, bats like Spencer Torkelson who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Tanner Gordon.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Kerry Carpenter – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Kyle Farmer – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+160)
Kyle Farmer has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Today’s version of the Rockies projected offense is weaker than usual, as their .297 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .315 overall projected rate.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-140)
Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+15.45 Units / 61% ROI)

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