Check the Rankings and Game Forecast: Angels vs Yankees Analysis – 6/16/2025

Los Angeles Angels

@

New York Yankees

On June 16, 2025, the New York Yankees will host the Los Angeles Angels at Yankee Stadium for the first game of a three-game series. The Yankees currently sit at 42-28, showcasing a solid season, while the Angels struggle at 33-37. Recent performances illustrate the disparity between the two teams; the Yankees were shut out 2-0 in their last game on June 15, while the Angels fell heavily to the Houston Astros, losing 11-2.

Clarke Schmidt is projected to take the mound for the Yankees, bringing with him a respectable ERA of 3.60 and a solid 3.95 xERA, suggesting he may have been unlucky this season. Schmidt’s last outing was particularly impressive as he pitched 6 innings without allowing an earned run, striking out 7 batters. On the other side, Jose Soriano will pitch for the Angels, holding a 3.86 ERA. Although he also performed well in his last start, allowing just 1 earned run over 7 innings with 12 strikeouts, he has struggled with control.

The Yankees’ offense ranks as the 2nd best in MLB, boasting a powerful lineup that has hit 109 home runs this season. In stark contrast, the Angels’ offense ranks 23rd overall, despite their own power, hitting 100 home runs but lacking consistency. The Yankees will look to capitalize on Soriano’s issues with walks, as they possess the highest walk rate in MLB, potentially giving them an edge in this matchup.

With a game total set at 8.5 runs, the Yankees enter as heavy favorites with a current moneyline of -205. The projections indicate that the Yankees are likely to score around 4.96 runs, while the Angels are projected for just 3.54 runs. Given the current form of both teams and their statistical rankings, the Yankees seem poised to come out strong in this matchup.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• The Los Angeles Angels have 5 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christian Moore, Mike Trout, Jo Adell, Logan O’Hoppe, Jorge Soler).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Yankees bullpen projects as the 5th-best in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+12.12 Units / 20% ROI)
• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)