Check the Betting Guide and Odds for Royals vs Athletics – Friday September 26th, 2025

Kansas City Royals

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Athletics

As the Kansas City Royals visit Sutter Health Park on September 26, 2025, they look to build on their recent momentum after a solid victory against the Athletics, where they won 9-4 in their last outing. The Royals currently sit at 80-79, having an average season, while the Athletics are struggling at 75-84, marking them as below average this year.

Mason Barnett is slated to take the mound for the Athletics, but he has had a rough season, with a 7.56 ERA and a Power Ranking placing him as the 243rd best starting pitcher in MLB. Although he projects to pitch around 4.7 innings today, his numbers suggest he could allow 3.0 earned runs and 5.2 hits, which could be problematic against a Royals lineup that, despite ranking 20th in overall offensive performance, has the potential to capitalize on his struggles.

On the other side, Noah Cameron will start for the Royals. With a solid 2.90 ERA and a 9-7 record, Cameron has been a reliable arm for Kansas City this season. He pitched well in his last start, going 7 innings with just 1 earned run, and while he projects to allow 3.0 earned runs today, his performance has been generally strong.

The Athletics boast the 7th best offense in MLB, highlighted by their power, ranking 6th in home runs. However, they will face a challenge against Cameron, who is a high-flyball pitcher up against a powerful lineup. With a game total set at a high 10.5 runs, it suggests an expectation of offensive fireworks, making this matchup intriguing for bettors. The Athletics are currently listed at +105 on the moneyline, while the Royals are at -125, indicating a close contest ahead.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Kansas City Royals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)
  Noah Cameron was on point in his last GS and conceded 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Jac Caglianone – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
  Jac Caglianone has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .160 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Kansas City Royals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Kansas City Royals’ bullpen ranks as the 9th-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Mason Barnett – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mason Barnett to throw 83 pitches in today’s game (11th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
  Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Moneyline (+105)
  The Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 89 games (+16.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 96 of their last 159 games (+27.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-145/+115)
  Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)