Check Out the Top Player Prop Picks for Yankees vs Royals – Tuesday, June 10, 2025

New York Yankees

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Kansas City Royals

On June 10, 2025, the Kansas City Royals will host the New York Yankees at Kauffman Stadium in what marks the first game of their series. The Royals enter this matchup with a record of 34-32, showing signs of improvement but still lagging behind the Yankees, who boast a strong 39-25 record. Kansas City’s offense has struggled mightily, ranking 26th in the league, while the Yankees sit atop MLB rankings, showcasing the best offense this season.

In their last outing, the Yankees continued their impressive form, further solidifying their status as contenders. The matchup features two left-handed pitchers: Noah Cameron for the Royals and Max Fried for the Yankees. Cameron has had a solid start to the season, posting an impressive ERA of 0.85, though his xFIP of 4.59 suggests he may have been fortunate thus far. He projects to pitch an average of 5.1 innings while allowing around 2.9 earned runs, which does not bode well against a powerful Yankees lineup that has hit 105 home runs this year.

Max Fried, ranked 6th among MLB starting pitchers, has been a key asset for New York, with an ERA of 1.78 and a solid Win/Loss record of 8-1. His ability to induce ground balls will be crucial against a Royals team that has struggled to generate power. While Kansas City’s offense ranks highly in batting average, their lack of home runs—just 44 this season—could play into Fried’s hands.

With a Game Total set at 8.5 runs, the Yankees are favored with a moneyline of -195, while the Royals are seen as underdogs at +170. Despite the odds, Kansas City’s best hitter has been on a tear recently, boasting a .500 batting average over the past week. However, the matchup favors New York, making this a challenging game for the Royals as they look to make a statement against one of the league’s elite teams.

New York Yankees Insights

• DJ LeMahieu – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Hitters such as DJ LeMahieu with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Noah Cameron who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Yankees’ bullpen ranks as the 6th-best among all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Kansas City Royals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+170)
  Noah Cameron is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.8% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #30 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Over the last 14 days, Bobby Witt Jr. has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.9% to 24.2%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 56 games (+23.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-145)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• Salvador Perez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)