Check Out Braves vs Giants Picks and Betting Tips – Sunday June 8th, 2025

Atlanta Braves

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San Francisco Giants

On June 8, 2025, the San Francisco Giants will host the Atlanta Braves at Oracle Park in what marks the third game of their series. The Giants, currently sporting a record of 37-28, are having a solid season and enter this matchup following a narrow victory over the Braves, winning 3-2 on June 7. Meanwhile, the Braves sit at 27-36, struggling throughout this campaign.

Landen Roupp is projected to take the mound for the Giants, coming off a strong performance in his last start where he pitched 6 innings with no earned runs. Roupp’s current ERA stands impressively at 3.18, indicating he has been above average this season and ranks as the 64th best starting pitcher in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system. However, his SIERA suggests he may not sustain this level of performance going forward.

Contrastingly, Spencer Strider will pitch for the Braves. Strider has seen a rough start to the season, holding an ERA of 5.68 and a troubling 0-4 record across 4 starts. Despite this, projections indicate he could perform better than his statistics show, as he has been unlucky in his outings.

Offensively, the Giants have struggled, ranking 25th in MLB for batting average and runs scored, which could pose challenges against Strider’s strikeout capability. In contrast, the Braves’ offense is mid-tier, sitting 16th overall but still shows potential for improvement.

Betting markets have set the Game Total at a modest 7.5 runs, signaling expectations for a tightly contested game. With the Giants at +110 and an implied team total of 3.57 runs, they may be undervalued given their recent form. The Braves, favored at -130, have an average implied team total of 3.93 runs, reflecting their slightly better recent performance. This matchup promises intrigue as both teams look to capitalize on their pitching strengths and mitigate their offensive limitations.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
  Spencer Strider is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.4% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #28 HR venue in MLB in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under Hits
  Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under Total Bases
  Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Landen Roupp – Over/Under Strikeouts
  With 6 hitters of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Landen Roupp figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Tyler Fitzgerald – Over/Under Total Bases
  Tyler Fitzgerald’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 87.4-mph EV last year has dropped to 82.8-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The San Francisco Giants projected batting order ranks as the 2nd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under Game Total
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• Over/Under Game Total
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)