Check Out Angels vs Rangers Picks and Betting Tips – Tuesday August 26th, 2025

Los Angeles Angels

@

Texas Rangers

As the Texas Rangers prepare to take on the Los Angeles Angels at Globe Life Field on August 26, 2025, both teams are looking to rebound from a shutout performance in their last matchup. The Rangers fell 4-0 to the Angels, who are riding a modest wave of momentum. With the Rangers at 66-67 and the Angels at 62-69, this American League West clash is pivotal for both sides, as neither team is contending for a playoff spot.

On the mound, the Rangers are set to start Patrick Corbin, who has had a challenging season, ranking 295th among starting pitchers. Corbin’s last outing on August 21 saw him struggle over four innings, allowing four earned runs. His average projected performance today includes 5.2 innings pitched with 2.8 earned runs allowed. However, his low strikeout rate could work in his favor against an Angels lineup that has been known to strike out frequently, ranking 1st in MLB in that category.

Opposing Corbin is Yusei Kikuchi, who has been much more effective this season, despite being labeled as a below-average pitcher. Kikuchi is coming off a strong start, where he pitched seven innings and allowed just one earned run. His projections suggest a solid outing, with 5.6 innings pitched and 2.7 earned runs allowed on average.

Offensively, the Rangers rank 27th in MLB, struggling to score runs consistently. In contrast, the Angels, while also below average overall, have the 4th best home run rate. With both teams showing inconsistencies at the plate, the projected total of 8.5 runs seems indicative of a low-scoring affair.

Betting markets reflect this uncertainty, with both teams listed at -110 on the moneyline, suggesting a close competition. The projections indicate that the Rangers could have a slight edge, but considering their recent offensive struggles, bettors should approach this matchup with caution.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Yusei Kikuchi – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Yusei Kikuchi has gone to his secondary pitches 10.9% more often this year (64%) than he did last season (53.1%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Taylor Ward – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
  In terms of his home runs, Taylor Ward has had some very good luck this year. His 32.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.3.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Oswald Peraza – Over/Under Total Bases
  Oswald Peraza hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Patrick Corbin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Among all starters, Patrick Corbin’s fastball velocity of 90.8 mph grades out in the 14th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Adolis Garcia – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)
  Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Texas Rangers have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Texas Rangers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-150/+115)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 75 of their last 132 games (+10.30 Units / 7% ROI)
• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 56 away games (+19.89 Units / 29% ROI)
• Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+6.65 Units / 19% ROI)