Blue Jays vs Yankees Value Bets and Betting Line – 10/08/2025

Toronto Blue Jays

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New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Anthony Santander – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Anthony Santander has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (90% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Cameron Schlittler’s 97.4-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 98th percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  In today’s game, Anthony Volpe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.8% rate (98th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-180)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+19.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (+150)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 80 of their last 131 games (+20.74 Units / 12% ROI)
• Trent Grisham – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-110/-120)
  Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.80 Units / 27% ROI)