Betting Trends for Tigers vs Mariners Game – 10/10/25

Detroit Tigers

@

Seattle Mariners

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Tarik Skubal’s 2354-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a significant 128-rpm jump from last season’s 2226-rpm figure.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his spin rate will likely see improved results.
• Zach McKinstry – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  There has been a decrease in Zach McKinstry’s average exit velocity this year, from 88 mph last year to 85.9 mph now
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• George Kirby – Over/Under 13.5 Pitching Outs (-125/-105)
  George Kirby has averaged 92.9 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Detroit’s #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Eugenio Suarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• George Kirby – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Projected catcher Cal Raleigh grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Betting Trends

• Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (+100)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 51 games at home (+15.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.27 Units / 13% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena – Over/Under 0.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-170/+135)
  Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.10 Units / 23% ROI)