Betting Trends and Expert Picks for Blue Jays vs Yankees Tuesday, October 7, 2025

Toronto Blue Jays

@

New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (+145)
  Among every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Anthony Santander – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  New York’s 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Anthony Santander, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen grades out as the 3rd-best among all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

• Carlos Rodon – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
  Compared to average, Carlos Rodon has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying an extra 6.9 adjusted pitches each outing.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+110)
  Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-150)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+19.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (+145)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 117 games (+21.45 Units / 14% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-145/+115)
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 32% ROI)