Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
(-110/-110)+195
As the Los Angeles Dodgers head to LoanDepot Park on September 17, 2024, they face off against the Miami Marlins in the first game of this series. The Dodgers, at 89-61, are enjoying a superb season, while the Marlins struggle with a dismal 55-95 record. Miami’s recent performance shows they are not contending for a playoff spot, having lost their last game to the Nationals by a narrow 4-3 margin. In contrast, the Dodgers showcased their dominance with a commanding 9-0 victory against the Braves, further solidifying their position as an elite contender.
On the mound, the Marlins will send out Darren McCaughan, who has had a rough season with an ERA of 7.06. His last outing was uneventful, allowing 3 earned runs over 5 innings. Unfortunately for Miami, McCaughan’s high flyball rate (41%) aligns poorly against a powerful Dodgers offense that ranks 2nd in MLB with 196 home runs this season.
Bobby Miller will start for the Dodgers, coming off a less-than-stellar outing where he allowed 6 earned runs over 4 innings. However, Miller has a solid ability to eat up innings, averaging 5.3 per start. The projections suggest he might have the advantage against a Marlins lineup that ranks 29th in overall offensive capability.
With the Dodgers projected to score a hefty 6.36 runs and Miami’s average sitting at 4.41, the odds favor Los Angeles. The leading MLB projection system indicates that while Miami may be big underdogs in this match, they might surprise, but the smart money leans heavily toward the Dodgers given their recent form and offensive strengths.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 69 games at home (+26.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+15.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jonah Bride – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)