Betting Guide and Odds for Tigers vs White Sox – Tuesday June 3, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to face off against the Detroit Tigers on June 3, 2025, at Guaranteed Rate Field, the stakes are high for both teams. The White Sox enter the matchup with a dismal record of 18-42 this season, already out of contention for their division, while the Tigers are thriving with a strong 40-21 record, showcasing their position as one of the top teams in the league. In their last game on June 2, the White Sox suffered a heavy defeat, losing 13-1 to the Tigers, who also secured a dominating victory in that contest.

On the mound, the White Sox are projected to start Shane Smith, who has struggled to find his rhythm this season with a Win/Loss record of 1-3 over 11 starts. While his ERA of 2.68 is impressive, advanced statistics suggest he may have been fortunate, as his 4.17 xFIP indicates potential regression. Smith’s inability to go deep into games, averaging just 4.9 innings pitched, coupled with a troubling projection of 4.9 hits and 1.5 walks allowed, raises concerns for the White Sox.

In contrast, the Tigers are projected to send Sawyer Gipson-Long to the mound. Though his average innings pitched of 3.9 is not ideal, he comes off a solid outing in his last start on September 28, 2023, where he allowed just 2 earned runs in 5 innings. The Tigers’ offense, ranked 7th in MLB, has been firing on all cylinders, and with their best hitter boasting a robust OPS of 0.855, they are well-positioned to capitalize on any mistakes from Smith.

With the Tigers favored at -155 on the moneyline and an implied team total of 4.66 runs, they look to continue their winning ways against a struggling White Sox squad that ranks 29th in offense this season. As this pivotal matchup unfolds, the disparity in team performance suggests the Tigers are poised to extend their dominance.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Javier Baez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+140)
  Extreme groundball bats like Javier Baez tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Smith.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  The Detroit Tigers bullpen projects as the 5th-best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)
  Shane Smith is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #4 HR venue among all parks — in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Edgar Quero – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Edgar Quero is penciled in 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Austin Slater – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+110)
  Austin Slater has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-135)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Moneyline (-155)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games (+15.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• Chase Meidroth – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-205/+155)
  Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 50% ROI)