Betting Guide and Odds for Mariners vs Angels – Friday June 6, 2025

Seattle Mariners

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Los Angeles Angels

On June 6, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Seattle Mariners at Angel Stadium in what marks the first game of their series. The Angels, sitting at 28-33, are struggling this season and have lost their last match against the Mariners by a score of 11-9. Meanwhile, the Mariners are having a solid campaign with a record of 32-29, despite a recent loss of their own, falling 4-3 in their last game.

The matchup features two right-handed pitchers: Kyle Hendricks for the Angels and Bryce Miller for the Mariners. Hendricks has had a rough season, ranking as the 251st best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats, and he carries a Win/Loss record of 2-6 with a 5.34 ERA. His projections for today suggest he will pitch around 5.5 innings, allowing approximately 2.9 earned runs, but he has struggled with giving up hits and walks. The Mariners’ offense, which ranks 6th in MLB with 81 home runs, could capitalize on Hendricks’s flyball tendencies.

On the other hand, Bryce Miller is viewed as an average pitcher, with a 2-4 record and a 5.36 ERA. He projects to pitch about 5.2 innings, allowing around 2.4 earned runs. Miller’s ability to limit walks could be tested against an Angels offense that ranks 2nd in MLB for strikeouts, which plays into his favor.

The Angels’ offense, while ranking 23rd overall, has shown power with a 3rd place ranking in home runs. However, they struggle in batting average, sitting at 26th. With a high Game Total of 9.5 runs, this matchup appears poised for offensive fireworks, especially given the Mariners’ strong power numbers. Betting markets suggest a close contest, with the Angels having an implied team total of 4.53 runs compared to the Mariners’ 4.97 runs.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryce Miller – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Bryce Miller has utilized his curveball 8.1% more often this season (12.5%) than he did last season (4.4%).
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  J.P. Crawford’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 86.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 79.7-mph over the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Bryce Miller – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+135/-175)
  Kyle Hendricks’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.8 mph this season (85.7 mph) below where it was last season (87.5 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Extreme groundball bats like Mike Trout generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Miller.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Angels bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+6.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-130)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-140)
  Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 23% ROI)