Betting Guide and Odds for Giants vs Tigers – Wednesday May 28, 2025

San Francisco Giants

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Detroit Tigers

As the Detroit Tigers host the San Francisco Giants at Comerica Park on May 28, 2025, both teams come into this matchup with solid records, but the Tigers are clearly the stronger squad this season. With a record of 36-20, the Tigers are currently in a good position, while the Giants sit at 31-24, marking them as a competitive but less dominant team. Detroit’s offense ranks 7th in MLB, showcasing their ability to score runs, unlike San Francisco, which ranks 21st.

In their last game on May 27, the Tigers secured a 3-1 victory, giving them momentum heading into this contest. They will look to capitalize on this success with Jackson Jobe on the mound. Jobe, despite being ranked 206th among starting pitchers, has posted a respectable 4-1 record with a 4.06 ERA this season. However, his projections indicate potential struggles, as he is expected to allow 2.3 earned runs, 4.3 hits, and 2.0 walks today, all of which could create challenges for the Tigers if their offense falters.

On the other side, Landen Roupp represents a greater threat to the Tigers’ lineup. Ranked 79th, Roupp has a solid 3.63 ERA and is coming off a strong performance, where he pitched 6 innings without allowing an earned run. Despite his recent success, projections suggest he may struggle today, as he is also expected to allow 2.3 earned runs and 4.5 hits.

With both bullpens ranked in the top 3, the game could hinge on how well these starters perform early on. Given the Tigers’ superior offensive ranking and their recent win, they enter this game with an edge, making them a compelling pick for bettors looking for value.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Landen Roupp – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  With 6 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Landen Roupp will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• LaMonte Wade Jr – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  LaMonte Wade Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 92.1-mph figure last year has fallen to 89.9-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• It may be best to expect stronger performance for the San Francisco Giants offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Detroit Tigers – Moneyline (-110)
  Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Jake Rogers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  When it comes to his home runs, Jake Rogers has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His 16.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.2.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Detroit Tigers’ bullpen profiles as the 3rd-best among all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• Colt Keith – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-110/-120)
  Colt Keith has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 56% ROI)