
Chicago White Sox

New York Mets
(-110/-110)-280
On May 27, 2025, the New York Mets will host the Chicago White Sox at Citi Field for the second game of their interleague series. The Mets enter the matchup riding high after their 2-1 victory over the White Sox yesterday, bolstering their solid record of 33-21 this season. Meanwhile, the White Sox continue to struggle, sitting at 17-37 and having lost six of their last seven games.
The Mets will send Tylor Megill to the mound. Megill has been a consistent performer, with a respectable ERA of 3.56, and although his Win/Loss record sits at 3-4, a 2.83 FIP suggests he has been somewhat unlucky this season. He projects to pitch around 5.1 innings today, allowing an average of just 1.9 earned runs, which is impressive. The Mets’ offense, currently ranked 10th in MLB, has shown strong potential, and they are projected to score nearly 5 runs today.
In contrast, the White Sox will counter with Jonathan Cannon, who has had a rough season thus far, owning a 3.76 ERA and a Win/Loss record of 2-5. His projections indicate he might struggle today, as he is expected to give up around 3.1 earned runs with a concerning 5.2 hits allowed on average. The White Sox’s offense ranks dead last in MLB, making it difficult for them to capitalize on any pitching missteps.
With the Mets showcasing a much stronger lineup and a capable pitcher in Megill, they enter this game as a significant favorite. As the season progresses, this matchup could further highlight the struggles of the White Sox, while providing the Mets with an opportunity to solidify their standing in a competitive National League.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that the Chicago White Sox will record 3.65 runs on average in this matchup: the 3rd-least of all teams today.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
New York Mets Insights
- New York Mets – Moneyline (-280)Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- New York Mets – Moneyline (-280)The New York Mets projected batting order grades out as the 3rd-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- New York Mets – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120/-110)The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.19 Units / 15% ROI)
- Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.80 Units / 39% ROI)