Best Player Prop Bets for Rangers vs Athletics – Friday, August 29th, 2025

Texas Rangers

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Athletics

As the Oakland Athletics prepare to face the Texas Rangers on August 29, 2025, at Sutter Health Park, both teams are looking to build momentum. The Athletics, currently sitting at 63-72, are having a below-average season, while the Rangers hold a record of 68-67, marking them as average contenders in the American League West. The stakes are raised as the Athletics recently secured a solid 7-0 victory over their opponents, which could signal a turning point.

On the mound, Oakland is projected to start Jeffrey Springs, who has had a mixed year with a 10-8 record and a 4.15 ERA. Springs, ranked as the 188th best starting pitcher in MLB, has shown flashes of effectiveness but has been lucky, as indicated by his 4.65 xFIP. He is expected to pitch around 5.0 innings, allowing approximately 2.9 earned runs, which could be problematic given the Athletics’ struggles in the bullpen, currently ranked 25th.

In contrast, Texas will counter with Jack Leiter, who has a respectable 3.81 ERA and a solid last outing where he pitched 7 innings with no earned runs. However, his 4.77 xFIP suggests he may also be due for some regression. Leiter is projected to pitch about 4.9 innings, allowing 3.2 earned runs, while his tendency to allow fly balls may be exploited by Oakland’s powerful offense, which ranks 6th in MLB with 185 home runs this season.

The Athletics are favored with a moneyline of -150, indicating confidence in their ability to capitalize on their recent success, especially against a Rangers lineup that ranks 26th in overall offensive performance. With an implied team total of 5.41 runs for Oakland, bettors might find value in backing the Athletics as they aim to ride their momentum into this matchup.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Jack Leiter – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+135/-175)
  Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jack Leiter is projected to throw 84 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least of all pitchers on the slate.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Josh Jung – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Josh Jung has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  The Texas Rangers bullpen ranks as the 7th-worst in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Jeffrey Springs – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  With 9 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Jeffrey Springs will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Despite posting a .433 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nicholas Kurtz has been lucky given the .081 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .352.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Run Line -1.5 (+140)
  The Athletics have hit the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• Texas Rangers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)
  Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 25 games at home (+19.10 Units / 38% ROI)