Houston Astros
San Diego Padres
(+100/-120)-120
As the San Diego Padres host the Houston Astros on September 17, 2024, both teams are looking to solidify their positions in a tight playoff race. The Padres currently sit at 85-65, enjoying a solid season, while the Astros are just behind at 81-68, fighting for a favorable postseason spot. This matchup is critical, especially after San Diego took the first game of the series yesterday.
Michael King, projected to start for the Padres, is having a standout season, ranking as the 20th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics. With a 3.06 ERA and a solid 28.1% strikeout rate, he’s poised to challenge the Astros’ offense, which ranks 9th in the league. However, King faces a unique challenge; the Astros are a low-strikeout team, which may limit his ability to capitalize on his strikeout potential.
Hunter Brown, starting for Houston, has also been effective this season, holding an ERA of 3.59 and a 34th ranking among MLB starters. He projects to go about 5.5 innings, allowing 2.4 earned runs, which aligns with the projections that indicate a competitive matchup. Despite both pitchers having good seasons, King’s favorable metrics give the Padres an edge.
The Padres’ offense ranks 7th overall, boasting the best team batting average in MLB, while the Astros rank 3rd in the same category. With the Game Total set at a low 7.0 runs, bettors should consider the Padres’ strong offensive performance, particularly with Fernando Tatis Jr. heating up, which could tip the scales in San Diego’s favor. The tight moneyline indicates a close contest, making this matchup one to watch closely.
Betting Trends
- San Diego Padres – Moneyline (-120)The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 73 games (+15.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 away games (+15.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+250/-345)Jeremy Pena has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.15 Units / 33% ROI)