Rangers vs White Sox Betting Line and Odds – August 29, 2024

Texas Rangers

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Chicago White Sox

The matchup on August 29, 2024, features the Chicago White Sox hosting the Texas Rangers at Guaranteed Rate Field. The White Sox, sitting at an abysmal 31-103 this season, are currently in 5th place in the American League Central, showcasing a season far removed from playoff contention. The Rangers, with a record of 62-71, are in 3rd place in the American League West and also find themselves outside of the postseason picture.

In their most recent game on August 28, the White Sox faced the Rangers, suffering a narrow 4-3 defeat. This loss adds to their struggles, as they are now on a significant downward trend. The projections suggest that the White Sox could be undervalued as they take on Nathan Eovaldi, a solid right-handed pitcher for Texas who has posted a 3.79 ERA this season. Eovaldi is projected to go 6.0 innings while allowing 2.6 earned runs. His low walk rate of 5.6% could be a troublesome matchup against a White Sox lineup that ranks 2nd least in walks drawn this season.

Nick Nastrini, projected to start for the White Sox, has had a rough outing this year, holding a record of 0-5 and an ERA of 8.39. His lack of effectiveness is highlighted by his ranking as the 331st best starting pitcher in MLB, underscoring the tough road ahead for Chicago. However, even with these challenges, projections indicate that the White Sox might score around 3.96 runs in this game, a slight bump from their current low team total.

As the game approaches, the Rangers hold a hefty advantage with a moneyline at -270, while the White Sox sit as underdogs at +230, reflecting a 29% implied probability of victory. Betting enthusiasts might find value in the White Sox’s potential to outperform expectations, especially given Eovaldi’s groundball tendencies against a power-deficient Chicago offense.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Texas Rangers – Moneyline (-275)
  The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team on the slate today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Nate Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)
  Nathaniel Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.5-mph mark last year has dropped to 89.5-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Nate Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)
  Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+205)
  Nick Nastrini is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #8 HR venue among all parks in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Nicky Lopez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Texas’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Nicky Lopez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• The Chicago White Sox have been the unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 55% ROI)
• Texas Rangers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-115/-115)
  Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+17.35 Units / 25% ROI)