
Milwaukee Brewers
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+155O/U: 7.5
(+100/-120)-175
(+100/-120)-175
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+150)Robert Gasser is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #4 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Luis Lara – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Luis Lara will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Blake Snell in this game.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- William Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+140)William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Blake Snell – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)As a result of his reverse platoon split, Blake Snell will benefit from going up against 6 batters in the projected offense of opposing handedness in today’s game.Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-175)The best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (+155)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Cooper Pratt – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)Cooper Pratt has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.80 Units / 28% ROI)
