Find the Best D-Backs vs Rockies Picks and Odds – 9/22/2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Colorado Rockies

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Michael Soroka – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Michael Soroka’s fastball spin rate of 2526 rpm is in the 95th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Arizona Diamondbacks – 2H Moneyline
  The Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen grades out as the 4th-best in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Kyle Freeland – Over/Under 12.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Kyle Freeland to be on a pitch count in this game, projecting a maximum of 65 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)
  Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 59% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 3.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• Kyle Freeland – Over/Under 3.5 Earned Runs (+120/-155)
  Kyle Freeland has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 33% ROI)