
Milwaukee Brewers
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Baltimore Orioles
-135O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+115
(-110/-110)+115
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Robert Gasser – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)Due to his large platoon split, Robert Gasser faces a tough challenge being matched up with 6 batters in the projected offense who hit from the other side in this outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Christian Yelich – Over/Under Total BasesChristian Yelich has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)Among all SPs, Trevor Rogers’s fastball spin rate of 2473 rpm ranks in the 87th percentile this year.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Samuel Basallo – Over/Under HitsSamuel Basallo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the most strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Baltimore Orioles with a 28.7% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
