Picks and Betting Line for Rockies vs Braves Saturday, August 29, 2026

Colorado Rockies

@

Atlanta Braves

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+160)
  Ryan Feltner turned in a great performance in his last GS and gave up 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Jake McCarthy – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+200/-265)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Colorado Rockies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies’ bullpen profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Martín Pérez – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (+100/-130)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Martin Perez will ring up an average of 16.5 outs in this outing.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Ryan Feltner
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Drake Baldwin – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Drake Baldwin has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -1.0 (-110)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+6.45 Units / 125% ROI)