Explore the Game Breakdown: Dodgers vs Braves Team Stats and Insights - 8/26/2026

-135O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)+115

Roki Sasaki – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
Roki Sasaki’s fastball velocity has increased 1.8 mph this year (97.2 mph) over where it was last season (95.4 mph).
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 100.7-mph mark last year has decreased to 96.4-mph.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

AJ Smith-Shawver – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
AJ Smith-Shawver has been given a below-average leash this year, throwing 14.6 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.
Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
Los Angeles’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Ozzie Albies, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (+115)
The Atlanta Braves projected batting order ranks as the 3rd-best on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-135)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+13.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Michael Harris – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)
Michael Harris has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.90 Units / 59% ROI)

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