
Colorado Rockies
@

Washington Nationals
+125O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)-150
(-105/-115)-150
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Mickey Moniak – Over/Under Total BasesMickey Moniak is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Washington (#3-best of all teams on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies’ bullpen projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams in MLB.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Washington Nationals Insights
- Andrew Alvarez – Over/Under StrikeoutsGiven that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Andrew Alvarez (48.7% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in Colorado’s projected lineup.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Daylen Lile – Over/Under HitsDaylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Brady House – Over/Under Total BasesBrady House has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
