
Baltimore Orioles
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Tampa Bay Rays
+120O/U: 7.5
(+100/-120)-140
(+100/-120)-140
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Kyle Bradish – Over/Under Pitching OutsCompared to average, Kyle Bradish has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an additional 3.6 adjusted pitches each start.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Tyler O’Neill – Over/Under Total BasesTypically, bats like Tyler O’Neill who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Ian Seymour.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Baltimore Orioles with a 27.2% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Ian Seymour – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)With 7 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Ian Seymour will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Yandy Diaz – Over/Under Total BasesHitting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Yandy Diaz has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Tampa Bay Rays – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Tampa Bay Rays’ bullpen profiles as the 10th-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
