
St. Louis Cardinals
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Chicago Cubs
+155O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-180
(-110/-110)-180
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)The Chicago Cubs have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Alec Burleson – Over/Under Total BasesAlec Burleson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.8-mph figure.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 19.4% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-180)The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best out of every team on the slate today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Chicago Cubs – 2H MoneylineThe Chicago Cubs bullpen projects as the 4th-worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
