Cincinnati Reds
@
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- JJ Bleday – Over/Under Total BasesWashington’s #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for JJ Bleday, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Cincinnati Reds – 2H MoneylineThe Cincinnati Reds bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Washington Nationals Insights
- Cade Cavalli – Over/Under StrikeoutsThe leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Cade Cavalli will average a total of 5.9 strikeouts in today’s outing.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Keibert Ruiz – Over/Under HitsKeibert Ruiz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- CJ Abrams – Over/Under Total BasesCJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.