Explore Player Props Preview for Dodgers vs Cubs - 8/4/26

-205O/U: 9
(+100/-120)+175

Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
Tarik Skubal’s 96-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 79th percentile among all starters.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Tommy Edman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-250/+190)
Tommy Edman is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Today’s version of the Dodgers projected offense is missing some of their usual firepower, as their .331 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .348 overall projected rate.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Javier Assad – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+115)
Javier Assad projects to average 2 walks in today’s outing, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
Dansby Swanson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
Dansby Swanson’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 89.2-mph seasonal average has decreased to 81.3-mph in the last 7 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Chicago Cubs – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago Cubs’ bullpen grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in baseball.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 34% ROI)

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